Maximilian Marterer vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maximilian Marterer and Taro Daniel have met 5 times since 2015; Taro Daniel leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Mersin in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Daniel leads 2–1. On hard courts Daniel leads 2–0. Daniel has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Marterer has taken 3 sets to Daniel's 9. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at Australian Open (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marterer | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maximilian Marterer | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 1/3 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 2/5 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 1/4 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marterer 0, Daniel 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marterer
🤖 Servebot
Daniel
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 28, 2020
Hamburg
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 6, 2017
Braunschweig
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 27, 2015
Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 1, 2015
Mersin
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marterer | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maximilian Marterer | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marterer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.09 |
| ROI % | -41.0% | +63.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.05u | +12.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marterer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BEL → GER | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Masur
M25 Ueberlingen · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Louis Wessels
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Aaron Funk
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 19
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Christoph Negritu
Augsburg · Round of 32
Aug 19
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Stuttgart · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Bastad
Jul 13
Federico Coria
Bastad
Jul 12
Valentin Royer
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 5–56 matches
| Metric | Marterer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 63% |
| Sets won | 42% | 60% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marterer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marterer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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