Maximilian Marterer vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maximilian Marterer and Taro Daniel have met 5 times since 2015; Taro Daniel leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Mersin in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Daniel leads 2–1. On hard courts Daniel leads 2–0. Daniel has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Marterer has taken 3 sets to Daniel's 9. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at Australian Open (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marterer | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maximilian Marterer | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 2/3 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 1/4 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 2/7 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 1/4 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 1/3 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marterer 0, Daniel 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marterer
🤖 Servebot
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maximilian Marterer.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 28, 2020
Hamburg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 6, 2017
Braunschweig
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 27, 2015
Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 1, 2015
Mersin
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marterer | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maximilian Marterer | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marterer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | -19.8% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | +0.82u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marterer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | — | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pavel Lagutin
Biella Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Federico Arnaboldi
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Benjamin Hassan
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Daniel Masur
M25 Ueberlingen · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Louis Wessels
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 22
Aaron Funk
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 19
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Sidane Pontjodikromo
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 10
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–61 matches
| Metric | Marterer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 66% |
| Sets won | 44% | 62% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marterer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marterer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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