Matias Soto vs Rafael TosettoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matias Soto and Rafael Tosetto have met 1 time since 2026; Matias Soto leads 1–0. Across all meetings Soto has taken 2 sets to Tosetto's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matias Soto won at M25 Sao Paulo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Soto | Tosetto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matias Soto | Rafael Tosetto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 26/38 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 18% | 5/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 17/64 | 21% | 9/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 18/29 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 11/27 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 32/36 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 26/36 | 77% | 10/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Soto 1, Tosetto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Soto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tosetto
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
M25 Sao Paulo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Soto | Tosetto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matias Soto | Rafael Tosetto | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Soto | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 3.80 |
| ROI % | -15.0% | +8.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.85u | +0.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Soto | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 198 mi · 319 km | — |
| Route | CZE → GER | BRA → PAR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Soto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Tosetto's 22%).
| Opponent | Soto | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | W 63 64 | L 16 16 |
| Lorenzo Claverie | W 75 75 | W 16 64 76 |
| Benjamin Torrealba | W 62 63 | W 76 62 |
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | W 62 36 62 | L 06 75 46 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | L 64 36 57 | L 67 46 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 16 16 | L 06 16 |
| Daniel Salazar | W 75 61 | L 36 57 |
| Nicolas Villalon | W 63 63 | L 46 26 |
| Ezequiel Monferrer | W 62 64 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Oleksii Krutykh
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rafael Tosetto
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Gabriel Tumasonis
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 11
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 14
Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Leonardo Monferrer
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Leonardo Monferrer
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Juan Sebastian Osorio
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 29
Matias Soto
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–64 matches
| Metric | Soto | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 33% |
| Sets won | 56% | 35% |
| Games won | 52% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Soto | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Soto | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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