Matias Soto vs Nicolas Moreno De AlboranPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇱Matias Soto
#261 · 27 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇸Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
#872 · 29 yrs · R
10wMatias Soto and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran have met 1 time since 2026; Nicolas Moreno De Alboran leads 1–0. Across all meetings Soto has taken 0 sets to Alboran's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran won at Santiago Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Soto | Moreno De Alboran | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matias Soto | Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 26/38 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 17/64 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 18/29 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 11/27 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 32/36 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 26/36 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Soto 0, Moreno De Alboran 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Soto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Alboran
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Moreno De Alboran.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 10, 2026
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Soto | Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | -15.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.85u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Soto | Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 198 mi · 319 km | — |
| Route | CZE → GER | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Soto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Alboran's 0%).
| Opponent | Soto | Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Tobon | W 76 63 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Oleksii Krutykh
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rafael Tosetto
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Gabriel Tumasonis
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 11
Harold Mayot
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Andrea Pellegrino
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Miguel Tobon
San Luis Potosi Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 31
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Santiago Challenger · Quarterfinals
Mar 13
Igor Marcondes
Santiago Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 11
Matias Soto
Santiago Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 10
Franco Roncadelli
Challenger de Santiago - Dove Men Care · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 9
Franco Ribero
Challenger de Santiago - Dove Men Care · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–64 matches
| Metric | Soto | Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 53% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Soto | Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Soto | Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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