Mateus Alves vs Nick HardtPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mateus Alves and Nick Hardt have met 1 time since 2026; Nick Hardt leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alves has taken 1 sets to Hardt's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nick Hardt won at M25 Cuiaba (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alves | Hardt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mateus Alves | Nick Hardt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 26/30 | 63% | 32/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 36% | 23/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 16/26 | 52% | 24/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 7/11 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 92% | 45/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 65% | 32/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alves 0, Hardt 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
💥 Big Hitter
Hardt
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mateus Alves.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 5, 2026
M25 Cuiaba
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Hardt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mateus Alves | Nick Hardt | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 71% | 15/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -34.2% | -6.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.71u | -1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | ITA → CZE → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alves has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Hardt's 60%).
| Opponent | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Fontes Damorim | W 75 63 | L 67 67 |
| Juan Estevez | W 63 62 | W 76 46 62 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 62 63 | W 62 76 |
| Nicolas Kicker | W 64 61 | L 26 57 |
| Salvador Price | W 61 64 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francisco Fontes Damorim
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 29
Francisco Fontes Damorim
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 29
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 23
Fons Van Sambeek
Bunschoten challenger
Jul 12
Nick Hardt
M25 Cuiaba · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio
M25 Cuiaba · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Nicolas Villalon
M25 Cuiaba · 1st Round
Jun 2
Kai Wehnelt
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Oleksii Krutykh
Prague Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Jakub Filip
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Marco Cecchinato
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 9
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Wilson Leite
Piracicaba Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–64 matches
| Metric | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 80% |
| Sets won | 61% | 70% |
| Games won | 54% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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