Matej Dodig vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matej Dodig and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 1 time since 2026; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1–0. Across all meetings Dodig has taken 0 sets to Busta's 2. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dodig | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matej Dodig | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 18/31 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 23/55 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 11/28 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 74% | 20/27 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 18/30 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dodig 0, Carreno Busta 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dodig
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dodig | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matej Dodig | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dodig | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | -7.3% | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.10u | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dodig | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 185 mi · 297 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | GER | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Dodig's 60%).
| Opponent | Dodig | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | L 46 46 | W 76 61 |
| Javier Barranco Cosano | W 63 76 | W 63 62 |
| Elmer Moller | L 46 67 | W 62 63 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 63 76 | L 46 63 36 |
| Eliakim Coulibaly | W 64 63 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Rudolf Molleker
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Denis Yevseyev
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Lorenzo Giustino
Hagen Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Stefano Travaglia
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Hugo Dellien
Trieste Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Henri Squire
Trieste Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–65 matches
| Metric | Dodig | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 65% |
| Sets won | 54% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dodig | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dodig | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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