Mary Stoiana vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mary Stoiana and Peyton Stearns have met 1 time since 2026; Peyton Stearns leads 1–0. Across all meetings Stoiana has taken 1 sets to Stearns's 2. Their most recent meeting: Peyton Stearns won at The Memphis Classic - Memphis (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Stoiana | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mary Stoiana | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 32/43 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 13/20 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/63 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 25/41 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 13/18 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 12/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 32/43 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Stoiana 0, Stearns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stoiana
👑 The Complete Package
Stearns
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mary Stoiana.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
The Memphis Classic - Memphis
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Stoiana | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mary Stoiana | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stoiana | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +2.6% | -35.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | -3.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Stoiana | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stearns has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Stoiana's 50%).
| Opponent | Stoiana | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Prozorova | W 75 61 | W 61 62 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 36 06 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Peyton Stearns
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Yeon Woo Ku
W100 Evansville · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Julieta Pareja
W100 Evansville · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Anna Sinclair Rogers
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 22
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Iryna Shymanovich
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Katrina Scott
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 1st Round
Jul 8
Clara Tauson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Elvina Kalieva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Tatiana Prozorova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mary Stoiana
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Kimberly Birrell
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–64 matches
| Metric | Stoiana | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 51% |
| Sets won | 66% | 53% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Stoiana | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Stoiana | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.