Marvin Moeller vs Matias SotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marvin Moeller and Matias Soto have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Augsburg Challenger in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Moeller has taken 3 sets to Soto's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matias Soto won at Tulln Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moeller | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marvin Moeller | Matias Soto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 37/55 | 67% | 24/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 22% | 6/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 27/83 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 19/29 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 47/53 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 37/53 | 71% | 24/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moeller 1, Soto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Soto
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 9, 2026
Tulln Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 26, 2026
Augsburg Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moeller | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marvin Moeller | Matias Soto | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–7 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.89 |
| ROI % | +12.7% | -18.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.54u | -2.44u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 673 mi · 1,083 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL → ITA | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moeller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Soto's 40%).
| Opponent | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Kilian Feldbausch | W 76 63 | L 36 26 |
| Rudolf Molleker | L 62 57 36 | L 36 36 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W | L 36 26 |
| Radek Chodora | W 62 63 | W 62 64 |
| Daniel Antonio Nunez | L 26 46 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tiago Torres
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Luka Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Dali Blanch
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Federico Arnaboldi
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Stefano Travaglia
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lautaro Midon
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Martin Landaluce
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP 0-4 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Vitaliy Sachko
Tulln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Marvin Moeller
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Sandro Kopp
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Kilian Feldbausch
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–83 matches
| Metric | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 57% |
| Sets won | 62% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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