Marvin Moeller vs Matias SotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marvin Moeller and Matias Soto have met 1 time since 2026; Marvin Moeller leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moeller has taken 2 sets to Soto's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marvin Moeller won at Augsburg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moeller | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marvin Moeller | Matias Soto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 39/56 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 25/86 | 27% | 17/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 19/31 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 48/54 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 39/54 | 72% | 26/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moeller 1, Soto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Soto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Marvin Moeller and Matias Soto are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
Augsburg Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moeller | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marvin Moeller | Matias Soto | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 20/24 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 13/24 | 67% | 12/18 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 2/24 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–6 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | +21.1% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.71u | -2.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 741 mi · 1,192 km | 198 mi · 319 km |
| Route | GER → SUI → GER | CZE → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Soto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Moeller's 33%).
| Opponent | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Rudolf Molleker | L 62 57 36 | L 36 36 |
| David Tixhon | W 60 62 | W 75 75 |
| Daniel Antonio Nunez | L 26 46 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Matias Soto
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Thomas Faurel
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Matej Dodig
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Niels McDonald
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Raul Brancaccio
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Oleksii Krutykh
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rafael Tosetto
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Gabriel Tumasonis
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–86 matches
| Metric | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 59% |
| Sets won | 61% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moeller | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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