Martin Damm vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈMartin Damm
#104 Β· 23 yrs Β· L
32 meetings Β· sets 3β2

π―π΅Shintaro Mochizuki
#123 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
Martin Damm and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Damm has taken 3 sets to Mochizuki's 2. Their most recent meeting: Martin Damm won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Damm | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Martin Damm | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 32/39 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/66 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 15/24 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 34/43 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 32/43 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Damm 1, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Damm
π€ Servebot
Mochizuki
π§± The Wall
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 62% vs π§± The Wall across 266 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Martin Damm.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 24, 2026
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Aug 26, 2024
US Open
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Damm | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Martin Damm | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 10 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Damm | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β8 | 10β11 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -22.8% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | -4.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Damm | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi Β· 5,105 km | 3,937 mi Β· 6,336 km |
| Route | CHN β JPN β CHN | CHN β JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Mochizuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Damm's 50%).
| Opponent | Damm | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Pavel Kotov | L 67 76 36 | W 75 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 46 | L 16 46 57 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 62 36 36 | L 46 36 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 46 46 | L 64 36 26 26 |
| Charles Broom | W 63 63 | W 26 62 64 |
| Johannus Monday | W 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 67 | W 16 76 64 64 |
| Max Basing | W 61 75 | W 63 60 60 |
| Clement Tabur | W 76 67 76 | W 16 75 26 63 61 |
| Gauthier Onclin | W 63 36 64 | W 62 46 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 2nd Round
Sep 26
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round
Sep 24
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 3rd Round
Aug 27
Daniil Medvedev
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 2nd Round
Aug 26
Abedallah Shelbayh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Taro Daniel
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Martin Damm
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round
Sep 24
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Linang Xiao
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 63β70 matches
| Metric | Damm | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 40% |
| Sets won | 57% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Damm | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Damm | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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