Marko Topo vs Valerio AboianPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Plovdiv 3 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- August 31 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.34 or shorter, Marko Topo has won 13 of 17 matches, 76% against a fair-price expectation of 74%.
Priced around 2.87 or longer, Valerio Aboian has won 11 of 34 matches, 32% against a fair-price expectation of 26%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Marko Topo and Valerio Aboian meet next at the Plovdiv 3 Challenger on August 31 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Topo | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marko Topo | Valerio Aboian | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 13/25 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/47 | 30% | 21/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 8/23 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 16/23 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 86% | 36/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 16/27 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Topo
💥 Big Hitter
Aboian
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Marko Topo and Valerio Aboian are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Topo and Aboian have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Topo | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marko Topo | Valerio Aboian | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Topo | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–9 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -57.2% | -11.6% |
| Units P/L | -6.86u | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Topo | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 257 mi · 413 km | — |
| Route | GER | BUL → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Miguel Damas
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Carlos Taberner
Hagen Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Max Schoenhaus
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Elmer Moller
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Lukas Neumayer
Umag
Jul 12
Lorenzo Giustino
Troyes Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Leo Raquillet
Troyes Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Maribor · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Karlo Kajin
M25 Maribor · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Vid Mohar
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 25
Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nik Mikovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Aljaz Jeran
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–70 matches
| Metric | Topo | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 59% |
| Sets won | 50% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |