Marketa Vondrousova vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Marketa Vondrousova
#653 · 26 yrs · Left-Handed
39w3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleMarketa Vondrousova and Tatjana Maria have met 3 times since 2019; Marketa Vondrousova leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Miami in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Vondrousova leads 3–0. Vondrousova has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Vondrousova has taken 6 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marketa Vondrousova won at Miami Open - Miami (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vondrousova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marketa Vondrousova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 0/1 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 1/2 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 67% | 2/3 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/3 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 45% | 14/31 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/1 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vondrousova 3, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vondrousova
👑 The Complete Package
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 22, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 14, 2020
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 21, 2019
Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vondrousova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.04 |
| ROI % | - | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vondrousova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liudmila Samsonova
Adelaide International - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 13
Magdalena Frech
Brisbane International - Brisbane · 1st Round
Jan 5
Karolina Muchova
Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 1st Round
Oct 14
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Aug 31
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Aug 29
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Oksana Selekhmeteva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 24
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 9
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 3–60 matches
| Metric | Vondrousova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 53% |
| Sets won | 38% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vondrousova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vondrousova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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