Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Miguel TobonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ช๐ธMario Gonzalez Fernandez
#602 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1
๐จ๐ดMiguel Tobon
#510 ยท 20 yrs ยท R
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Miguel Tobon have met 1 time since 2026; Mario Gonzalez Fernandez leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 2 sets to Tobon's 1. Their most recent meeting: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez won at Segovia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gonzalez Fernandez | Tobon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Miguel Tobon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 28/35 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 15/32 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/67 | 39% | 21/54 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 19/26 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 31/42 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 28/42 | 66% | 19/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gonzalez Fernandez 0, Tobon 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Tobon
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
โ๏ธ The Gladiator vs โ๏ธ Grinder is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 20, 2026
Segovia Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Tobon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Miguel Tobon | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ8 | 3โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -17.6% | -46.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.81u | -4.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | ESP โ JAM | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Fernandez and Tobon posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Fernandez | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | L 36 36 | L 26 46 |
| Raul Brancaccio | L 36 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Mitchell Krueger
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Aryan Shah
M25+H Tauste ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ander Tarrio Ponte
M25+H Tauste ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Keegan Smith
Segovia Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Miguel Tobon
Segovia Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Dominik Palan
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
S D Prajwal Dev
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 12
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Segovia Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Milan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Martin Krumich
Targu Mures Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Ryan Seggerman
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ67 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 50% |
| Sets won | 54% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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