Marina Stakusic vs Varvara LepchenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Marina Stakusic
#140 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
26w2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇺🇸Varvara Lepchenko
#181 · 40 yrs · Left-Handed
7w3Marina Stakusic and Varvara Lepchenko have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Dow Tennis Classic - Midland in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Stakusic has taken 3 sets to Lepchenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marina Stakusic won at Austin 125 - Austin (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Stakusic | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marina Stakusic | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 15/18 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 3/8 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 6/26 | 35% | 14/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 12/16 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Stakusic 1, Lepchenko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stakusic
🪃 Counterpuncher
Lepchenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Nov 7, 2025
Austin 125 - Austin
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 5, 2024
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stakusic | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.67 |
| ROI % | - | -16.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.63u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stakusic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Lepchenko's 50%).
| Opponent | Stakusic | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Iryna Shymanovich | W 61 62 | W 57 63 61 |
| Emiliana Arango | L 26 36 | L 46 36 |
| Lia Karatancheva | W 60 63 | W 36 63 62 |
| Elvina Kalieva | W 62 62 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anastasia Potapova
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 4
Cristina Bucsa
Merida Open Akron - Merida · 2nd Round
Feb 25
Dayana Yastremska
Merida Open Akron - Merida · 1st Round
Feb 23
Darja Vidmanova
Workday Canberra International - Canberra · 1st Round
Jan 6
Renata Zarazua
Austin 125 - Austin · Final
Nov 9
Iva Jovic
Austin 125 - Austin · Semifinals
Nov 8
Varvara Lepchenko
Austin 125 - Austin · Quarterfinals
Nov 7
Mary Lewis
Austin 125 - Austin · 2nd Round
Nov 6
Alevtina Ibragimova
Iasi WTA
Jul 13
Clara Burel
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 13
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Iasi WTA
Jul 12
Paula Badosa
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 9
Tamara Korpatsch
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Lisa Zaar
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 7
Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Memorial Eugenio Fontana - Modena · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–40 matches
| Metric | Stakusic | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 48% |
| Sets won | 67% | 47% |
| Games won | 58% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Stakusic | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Stakusic | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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