Mariano Navone vs Valentin VacherotPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Navone and Valentin Vacherot have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Navone has taken 2 sets to Vacherot's 3. Their most recent meeting: Mariano Navone won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Vacherot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Valentin Vacherot | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/57 | 44% | 17/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 14/21 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 23/31 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navone 0, Vacherot 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Vacherot
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Valentin Vacherot.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 20, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navone | Vacherot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariano Navone | Valentin Vacherot | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +17.3% | +15.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.59u | +2.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Vacherot's 50%).
| Opponent | Navone | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 26 | W 75 46 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 67 26 | W 64 36 63 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 36 46 | W 76 76 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 36 63 64 76 | W 76 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 76 | L 67 64 57 |
| Quentin Halys | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
| Casper Ruud | W 75 62 | L 63 36 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 64 64 | W 76 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 76 76 | L 26 26 |
| Emilio Nava | W 62 61 | L 76 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Alexander Blockx
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Otto Virtanen
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, FIN-MON 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Eero Vasa
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, FIN-MON 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–64 matches
| Metric | Navone | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 61% |
| Sets won | 55% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navone | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navone | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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