Mariano Navone vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Navone and Sho Shimabukuro have met 1 time since 2025; Sho Shimabukuro leads 1–0. Across all meetings Navone has taken 0 sets to Shimabukuro's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sho Shimabukuro won at Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 70% | 30/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 20/58 | 32% | 22/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 67% | 30/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navone 0, Shimabukuro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sho Shimabukuro.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 22, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navone | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariano Navone | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -17.8% | -9.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.13u | -1.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Navone's 40%).
| Opponent | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | L 57 36 | W 64 62 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 64 75 | W 76 64 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 76 63 | L 26 16 |
| Marcos Giron | L 64 57 36 | L 36 57 |
| Coleman Wong | L 36 57 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Tallon Griekspoor
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ben Shelton
Boss Open - Stuttgart · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–69 matches
| Metric | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 62% |
| Sets won | 55% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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