Mariano Navone vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Navone and Sho Shimabukuro have met 1 time since 2025; Sho Shimabukuro leads 1–0. Across all meetings Navone has taken 0 sets to Shimabukuro's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sho Shimabukuro won at Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 67% | 29/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/57 | 35% | 25/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 14/21 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 65% | 15/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 86% | 38/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 23/31 | 66% | 29/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navone 0, Shimabukuro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sho Shimabukuro.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 22, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navone | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariano Navone | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 5/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +25.6% | -58.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.59u | -7.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Shimabukuro's 43%).
| Opponent | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 62 | L 57 16 |
| Quentin Halys | L 57 36 | W 64 62 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 64 75 | W 76 64 |
| Alex Molcan | W 36 62 63 | L 46 64 36 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 76 63 | L 26 16 |
| Marcos Giron | L 64 57 36 | L 36 57 |
| Coleman Wong | L 36 57 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Watt
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–74 matches
| Metric | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 58% |
| Sets won | 55% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navone | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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