Mariano Kestelboim vs Matias SotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Kestelboim and Matias Soto have met 1 time since 2026; Matias Soto leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kestelboim has taken 0 sets to Soto's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matias Soto won at Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kestelboim | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Kestelboim | Matias Soto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 25% | 1/4 | 67% | 24/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 1/7 | 22% | 6/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 4/11 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 25% | 1/4 | 71% | 24/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kestelboim 0, Soto 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kestelboim
⚔️ The Gladiator
Soto
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matias Soto.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 14, 2026
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.22 | 2.89 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -18.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Soto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kestelboim's 0%).
| Opponent | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Kicker | L 36 26 | W 26 64 76 |
| Facundo Mena | L 46 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Fermin Tenti
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Iliyan Radulov
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Sumit Nagal
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Matias Soto
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Natan Rodrigues
Campinas Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Juan Pablo Varillas
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 17
Juan Bautista Torres
Tigre 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 17
Facundo Mena
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 27
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lautaro Midon
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Martin Landaluce
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP 0-4 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Vitaliy Sachko
Tulln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Marvin Moeller
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Sandro Kopp
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Kilian Feldbausch
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–63 matches
| Metric | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 57% |
| Sets won | 35% | 54% |
| Games won | 45% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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