Mariano Kestelboim vs Matias SotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Kestelboim and Matias Soto have met 1 time since 2026; Matias Soto leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kestelboim has taken 0 sets to Soto's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matias Soto won at Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kestelboim | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Kestelboim | Matias Soto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 4/9 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 2/10 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 7/19 | 27% | 17/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 80% | 4/5 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 8/9 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 4/9 | 72% | 26/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kestelboim 0, Soto 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kestelboim
⚔️ The Gladiator
Soto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 14, 2026
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.26 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -2.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 198 mi · 319 km |
| Route | — | CZE → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Soto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kestelboim's 0%).
| Opponent | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Kicker | L 36 26 | W 26 64 76 |
| Facundo Mena | L 46 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iliyan Radulov
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Sumit Nagal
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Matias Soto
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Juan Pablo Varillas
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 17
Juan Bautista Torres
Tigre 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 17
Facundo Mena
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 27
Mateus Alves
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 26
Nicolas Kicker
Lima 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 4
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Oleksii Krutykh
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rafael Tosetto
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Gabriel Tumasonis
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–64 matches
| Metric | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 59% |
| Sets won | 44% | 56% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kestelboim | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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