Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ช๐จMaria Victoria Quinde Serrano
#67 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 5โ3

๐ฉ๐ชTatjana Maria
#71 ยท 38 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4TitleMaria Victoria Quinde Serrano and Tatjana Maria have met 3 times since 2024; Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. On clay courts Serrano leads 2โ0. Serrano has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Serrano has taken 5 sets to Maria's 3. Their most recent meeting: Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano won at Copa Colsanitas - Bogota (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Victoria Quinde Serrano | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 18/28 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 20/51 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 7/11 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 92% | 11/12 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 31% | 4/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Victoria Quinde Serrano 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Serrano
๐ The Complete Package
Maria
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 4, 2025
Copa Colsanitas - Bogota
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 5, 2024
Copa Colsanitas - Bogota
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Serrano | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Serrano | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ3 | 8โ5 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -52.0% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.60u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Serrano | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 654 mi ยท 1,053 km | โ |
| Route | ROU โ CZE | UKR โ TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Serrano's 60%).
| Opponent | Serrano | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Volynets | L 63 36 46 | W 62 64 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 63 36 36 | L 76 36 26 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 36 16 | W 46 61 62 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 76 63 | W 61 60 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 46 36 | W 62 61 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 76 63 | L 16 26 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 75 67 75 | W 64 64 |
| Janice Tjen | W 63 36 60 | W 63 62 |
| Dominika Salkova | W 61 26 63 | W 63 62 |
| Sloane Stephens | W 64 61 | L 61 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Katie Volynets
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Lanlana Tararudee
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Ann Li
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton ยท Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ60 matches
| Metric | Serrano | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 53% |
| Sets won | 54% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Serrano | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Serrano | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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