Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทMarco Trungelliti
#83 ยท 36 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ2

๐ท๐บPavel Kotov
#247 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
5wMarco Trungelliti and Pavel Kotov have met 2 times since 2021; Marco Trungelliti leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Rome 1 in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Trungelliti leads 2โ0. Trungelliti has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Trungelliti has taken 4 sets to Kotov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marco Trungelliti won at Lyon Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Trungelliti | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marco Trungelliti | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 26/38 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 13/25 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 25/63 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 16/37 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 14/22 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 31/40 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 26/40 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Trungelliti 0, Kotov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Trungelliti
๐พ All-Court
Kotov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐พ All-Court vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 9, 2026
Lyon Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Apr 1, 2021
Rome 1
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Trungelliti | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ7 | 1โ2 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -33.4% | -63.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.01u | -1.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Trungelliti | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Trungelliti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kotov's 33%).
| Opponent | Trungelliti | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Elahi Galan | L 76 36 57 | L 46 46 |
| Guy Den Ouden | W 61 62 | L 26 16 |
| Cezar Cretu | W 62 64 | L 61 16 26 |
| Borna Gojo | W 64 63 | W 64 36 63 |
| Zdenek Kolar | W 63 63 | W 64 63 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 62 26 57 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Hamad Medjedovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Yannick Hanfmann
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Kyrian Jacquet
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Jay Clarke
Bundesliga - men
Jul 5
Martin Damm
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Elahi Galan
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Franco Ribero
Royan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Marco Trungelliti
Lyon Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 9
Guy Den Ouden
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 1
Cezar Cretu
Chisinau Challenger ยท 2nd Round
May 28
Gauthier Onclin
Chisinau Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 26
Mikhail Kukushkin
Gwangju Challenger ยท 1st Round
Apr 21
Yi Zhou
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships ยท Round of 32
Apr 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 37โ66 matches
| Metric | Trungelliti | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 68% |
| Sets won | 58% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Trungelliti | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Trungelliti | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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