Marco Cecchinato vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marco Cecchinato and Thiago Monteiro have met 4 times since 2020; Thiago Monteiro leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Punta Del Este Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Monteiro leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cecchinato has taken 4 sets to Monteiro's 7. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Lisbon Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cecchinato | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marco Cecchinato | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 34/44 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 14/31 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 24/75 | 45% | 25/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 22/39 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 20/31 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 38/48 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 34/48 | 59% | 19/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cecchinato 0, Monteiro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cecchinato
🏹 Frontrunner
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 307 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2025
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2025
Modena Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 1, 2023
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 2, 2020
Punta Del Este Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cecchinato | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marco Cecchinato | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -11.9% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.78u | +1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | POL | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monteiro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cecchinato's 40%).
| Opponent | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | L 67 57 | W 64 36 63 |
| Gustavo Heide | W 61 75 | L 46 36 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 46 36 | L 67 67 |
| Nicolas Kicker | L 46 64 26 | W 36 62 63 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 67 26 | W 63 62 |
| Franco Agamenone | W 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Petr Nesterov | W 75 63 | W 63 46 75 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | W 62 64 | L 63 46 57 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 76 67 67 | W 64 64 |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | L 67 36 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Marvin Moeller
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Henri Squire
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Laslo Djere
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alejandro Moro Canas
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Nick Hardt
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Vilius Gaubas
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Vitaliy Sachko
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Stefano Travaglia
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–75 matches
| Metric | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 62% |
| Sets won | 59% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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