Marco Cecchinato vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marco Cecchinato and Thiago Monteiro have met 4 times since 2020; Thiago Monteiro leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Punta Del Este Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Monteiro leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cecchinato has taken 4 sets to Monteiro's 7. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Lisbon Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cecchinato | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marco Cecchinato | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 33/43 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 15/31 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 25/74 | 40% | 19/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 21/37 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 22/32 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 16/31 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 38/48 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 33/48 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cecchinato 0, Monteiro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cecchinato
🏹 Frontrunner
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2025
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2025
Modena Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 1, 2023
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 2, 2020
Punta Del Este Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cecchinato | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marco Cecchinato | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 8/20 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–8 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -4.0% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.84u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | ITA | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Cecchinato and Monteiro posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Kicker | L 46 64 26 | W 36 62 63 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 46 76 36 | L 67 67 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 67 26 | W 63 62 |
| Franco Agamenone | W 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 16 46 | L 46 76 06 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | W 62 64 | L 63 46 57 |
| Duje Ajdukovic | W 63 64 | L 36 64 46 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 76 67 67 | W 64 64 |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | L 67 36 | L 26 57 |
| Andy Andrade | L 46 46 | L 64 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Juan Bautista Torres
Todi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Francesco Forti
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Nick Hardt
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Alexandre Muller
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Franco Agamenone
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Umag
Jul 12
Tom Gentzsch
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Andrea Pellegrino
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
David Jorda Sanchis
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Philip Henning
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 12
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gstaad
Jul 11
Pol Martin Tiffon
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–74 matches
| Metric | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cecchinato | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.