Marco Cecchinato vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Marco Cecchinato
#166 · 33 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 4–5
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wMarco Cecchinato and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Cecchinato has taken 4 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cecchinato | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marco Cecchinato | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 33/43 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 15/31 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 25/74 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 21/37 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 22/32 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 16/31 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 38/48 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 33/48 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cecchinato 1, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cecchinato
🏹 Frontrunner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marco Cecchinato.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 5, 2022
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 1st Round
May 2, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 11, 2020
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 12, 2019
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cecchinato | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marco Cecchinato | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 8/20 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–8 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -4.0% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.84u | -2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cecchinato has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baena's 38%).
| Opponent | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Forti | W 61 63 | W 36 61 64 |
| Max Houkes | W 76 62 | W 64 36 62 |
| Raul Brancaccio | W 62 76 | W 64 36 63 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 67 57 | L 64 36 36 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 64 16 | L 36 26 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 67 26 | L 64 57 36 |
| Sandro Kopp | W 46 61 76 | L 36 26 |
| Jonas Forejtek | L 36 67 | L 62 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Juan Bautista Torres
Todi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Francesco Forti
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Nick Hardt
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Alexandre Muller
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Franco Agamenone
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Umag
Jul 12
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–74 matches
| Metric | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 55% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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