Marco Cecchinato vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Marco Cecchinato
#163 · 34 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 4–5
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wMarco Cecchinato and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Cecchinato has taken 4 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cecchinato | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marco Cecchinato | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 34/44 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 14/31 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 24/75 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 22/39 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 20/31 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 38/48 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 34/48 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cecchinato 1, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cecchinato
🏹 Frontrunner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 5, 2022
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 1st Round
May 2, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 11, 2020
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 12, 2019
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cecchinato | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marco Cecchinato | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -11.9% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.78u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cecchinato has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Baena's 33%).
| Opponent | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Olle Wallin | L 67 06 | L 36 61 16 |
| Francesco Forti | W 61 63 | W 36 61 64 |
| Max Houkes | W 76 62 | W 64 36 62 |
| Raul Brancaccio | W 62 76 | W 64 36 63 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 67 57 | L 64 36 36 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 64 16 | L 36 26 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 67 26 | L 64 57 36 |
| Sandro Kopp | W 46 61 76 | L 36 26 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 36 46 | L 67 63 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Marvin Moeller
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Henri Squire
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Laslo Djere
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alejandro Moro Canas
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Nick Hardt
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Vilius Gaubas
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–75 matches
| Metric | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 51% |
| Sets won | 59% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cecchinato | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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