Mai Hontama vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Mai Hontama
#167 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3w2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#53 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
4Mai Hontama and Shuai Zhang have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Hontama has taken 2 sets to Zhang's 3. Their most recent meeting: Mai Hontama won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hontama | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mai Hontama | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 19/31 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 22/57 | 31% | 18/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 13/31 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 14/22 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 19/36 | 71% | 22/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hontama 0, Zhang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hontama
⚔️ The Gladiator
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 135 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Shuai Zhang.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 6, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 20, 2022
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hontama | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mai Hontama | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 3.16 |
| ROI % | +30.4% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | +5.47u | -1.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | GRE → POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zhang has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Hontama's 75%).
| Opponent | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Kayla Day | W 67 63 64 | W 26 62 62 |
| Yeon Woo Ku | W 61 46 63 | W 63 62 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 62 62 | W 46 62 61 |
| Diane Parry | W 64 60 | W 62 75 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 36 75 36 | W 64 57 64 |
| Yidi Yang | W 63 36 75 | W 63 61 |
| Taylah Preston | L 67 36 | L 36 62 36 |
| Hayu Kinoshita | W 61 46 75 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Katrina Scott
W100 Landisville · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Yeon Woo Ku
W100 Landisville · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Erika Andreeva
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 4
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Semifinals
Jul 31
Jia Jing Lu
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Himeno Sakatsume
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Kayla Day
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lilli Tagger
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–59 matches
| Metric | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 56% |
| Sets won | 53% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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