Mai Hontama vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Mai Hontama
#164 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3Mai Hontama and Shuai Zhang have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Hontama has taken 2 sets to Zhang's 3. Their most recent meeting: Mai Hontama won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hontama | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mai Hontama | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 23/38 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 26/69 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 16/35 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 17/29 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 33/41 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 23/41 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hontama 0, Zhang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hontama
🪃 Counterpuncher
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 476 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Shuai Zhang.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 6, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 20, 2022
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hontama | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mai Hontama | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–8 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 3.35 |
| ROI % | -3.5% | -32.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.63u | -2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hontama has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Zhang's 78%).
| Opponent | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Timofeeva | W 16 64 75 | L 16 36 |
| Kayla Day | W 67 63 64 | W 26 62 62 |
| Yeon Woo Ku | W 61 46 63 | W 63 62 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 62 62 | W 46 62 61 |
| Diane Parry | W 64 60 | W 62 75 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 36 75 36 | W 64 57 64 |
| Yidi Yang | W 63 36 75 | W 63 61 |
| Taylah Preston | W 75 63 | L 36 62 36 |
| Hayu Kinoshita | W 61 46 75 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Emerson Jones
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Jodie Burrage
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Alexandra Panova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Eunhye Lee
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 19
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lina Gjorcheska
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Katrina Scott
W100 Landisville · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jelena Ostapenko
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–69 matches
| Metric | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 52% |
| Sets won | 53% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hontama | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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