Lukas Pokorny vs Marcel ZielinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Pardubice
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 23 · 12:35 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.59 or shorter, Lukas Pokorny has won 11 of 12 (92%). The price implied 64%, so Lukas Pokorny has beaten it by 28 points.
At 2.17 or longer, Marcel Zielinski has won 5 of 22 (23%). The price implied 33%, so Marcel Zielinski has fallen 10 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Lukas Pokorny and Marcel Zielinski meet next at the M25 Pardubice on September 23 on clay.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pokorny | Zielinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lukas Pokorny | Marcel Zielinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 15/21 | 53% | 25/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 12/42 | 39% | 28/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 11/22 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 88% | 36/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 61% | 25/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pokorny
💥 Big Hitter
Zielinski
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,264 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lukas Pokorny.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Pokorny and Zielinski have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pokorny | Zielinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lukas Pokorny | Marcel Zielinski | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 75% | 18/24 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 38% | 9/24 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 8% | 2/24 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pokorny | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 20–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 1.59 |
| ROI % | -15.0% | -3.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.20u | -1.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pokorny | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | AUT | AUT → GER → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diego Dedura
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Andrew Paulson
Tulln Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Lucio Ratti
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Ioannis Xilas
M25 Ollersbach · 1st Round
Jul 21
Hynek Barton
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Andrea Paolini
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 1
Mathys Picard
Futures 2026
Jun 27
Mathys Picard
M15 Monastir · Semifinals
Jun 27
Kai Wehnelt
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Liam Gavrielides
M25 Meerbusch · 1st Round
Sep 2
Heorhii Shylov
M15 Vienna · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Alen Mujakic
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Janis Graski
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 25
Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Mistelbach · Semifinals
Aug 22
Theodore Dean
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Gabriele Crivellaro
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–72 matches
| Metric | Pokorny | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 65% |
| Sets won | 50% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |