Luka Pavlovic vs Takuya KumasakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luka Pavlovic and Takuya Kumasaka have met 1 time since 2026; Luka Pavlovic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pavlovic has taken 2 sets to Kumasaka's 1. Their most recent meeting: Luka Pavlovic won at Segovia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pavlovic | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luka Pavlovic | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 78% | 21/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/52 | 28% | 16/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 20/29 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 14/25 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 86% | 24/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pavlovic 0, Kumasaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlovic
🤖 Servebot
Kumasaka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luka Pavlovic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 21, 2026
Segovia Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pavlovic | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luka Pavlovic | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlovic | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | -13.2% | -34.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.11u | -3.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pavlovic | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,414 mi · 3,885 km | — |
| Route | VIE → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Pavlovic and Kumasaka posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Pavlovic | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Kangyuan Shi | W 61 61 | W 64 64 |
| Akira Santillan | W 62 64 | W 63 00 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kangyuan Shi
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Thomas Fancutt
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Akira Santillan
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Ha Minh Duc Vu
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Martin Borisiouk
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Joshua Charlton
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Colin Sinclair
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Alexander Donski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Florent Bax
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Segovia Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–58 matches
| Metric | Pavlovic | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 48% |
| Sets won | 49% | 50% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pavlovic | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pavlovic | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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