Luka Mikrut vs Tiago PereiraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Maia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 13 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.92 or longer, Tiago Pereira has won 3 of 24 (13%). The price implied 18%, so Tiago Pereira has fallen 5 points short of it.
At 1.24 or shorter, Luka Mikrut has won 9 of 11 (82%). That is level with the 82% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Luka Mikrut and Tiago Pereira meet in the 1st Round of the Maia Challenger on October 13 on clay. Mikrut, ranked 167th, arrives with four wins in his last five matches and a 75% record on the surface. Pereira sits at 339th and has played five matches in two weeks, dropping his last outing three days ago.
The two have never faced each other. Mikrut has won 8 of his last 10 overall; Pereira has won 5 of his last 10. Both players lost to Marco Trungelliti and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in recent outings, though results differed: Pereira defeated each opponent while Mikrut fell to both.
Mikrut constructs points from multiple surfaces, combining baseline consistency with net play. Pereira operates as a reactive player who builds offense from his opponent's mistakes and tempo. On clay, Mikrut's 15-5 mark reflects comfort with extended rallies, while Pereira's 12-8 sample shows he can sustain pressure but has struggled with consistency. Mikrut's all-court approach must navigate Pereira's willingness to absorb pace and redirect it.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mikrut | Pereira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luka Mikrut | Tiago Pereira | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 11/20 | 67% | 36/54 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 38% | 16/42 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 13/32 | 35% | 34/96 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 9/23 | 54% | 30/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 79% | 44/56 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 64% | 36/56 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mikrut
👑 The Complete Package
Pereira
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luka Mikrut.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Mikrut and Pereira have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mikrut | Pereira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luka Mikrut | Tiago Pereira | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 90% | 27/30 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 47% | 14/30 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 30% | 9/30 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 3% | 1/30 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 3% | 1/30 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/30 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mikrut | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 18–11 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | +24.3% | +17.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.40u | +4.94u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mikrut | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | 673 mi · 1,083 km | 2,623 mi · 4,221 km |
| Route | POL → ITA | POL → BUL → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mikrut has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Pereira's 29%).
| Opponent | Mikrut | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | L 36 46 | W 75 63 |
| Tom Gentzsch | W 63 46 63 | L 57 67 |
| Robert Strombachs | W 46 64 60 | W 60 64 |
| Jan Choinski | W 63 63 | L 16 26 |
| Nerman Fatic | L 46 46 | L 57 26 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 63 57 26 | L 26 26 |
| Jaime Faria | L 67 57 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Vilius Gaubas
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Oleksii Krutykh
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Sumit Nagal
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Genoa 2 Challenger · Final
Sep 27
Marvin Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Lukas Neumayer
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Kimmer Coppejans
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Federico Iannaccone
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Pol Martin Tiffon
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Hugo Grenier
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Otto Virtanen
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Filip Pieczonka
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rudolf Molleker
Szczecin Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–96 matches
| Metric | Mikrut | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 56% |
| Sets won | 57% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |