Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Valerio AboianPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇲🇽Luis Carlos Alvarez
#933 · 22 yrs · R
14w32 meetings · sets 4–1
🇦🇷Valerio Aboian
#347 · 24 yrs · L
3Luis Carlos Alvarez and Valerio Aboian have met 2 times since 2024; Luis Carlos Alvarez leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Puerto Vallarta in 2024 on hard. Alvarez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alvarez has taken 4 sets to Aboian's 1. Their most recent meeting: Luis Carlos Alvarez won at Bogota Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carlos Alvarez | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luis Carlos Alvarez | Valerio Aboian | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 63% | 33/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 29/87 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 2/3 | 58% | 18/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 1/4 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 90% | 43/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 69% | 33/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carlos Alvarez 1, Aboian 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alvarez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Aboian
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Valerio Aboian.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 19, 2024
Puerto Vallarta
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 13–9 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.19 |
| ROI % | - | +10.7% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Aboian has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Alvarez's 0%).
| Opponent | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Hernan Casanova | L 57 26 | W 62 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Valerio Aboian
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Hernan Casanova
Quito Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Felipe Rivadeneira
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Nav Dayal
M15 Irvine · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Nav Dayal
Futures 2026
Jun 15
Zsombor Velcz
M25 Harlingen 1 · 1st Round
Oct 29
Asahi Harazaki
M25 Norman 1 · 1st Round
Oct 22
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Matias Franco Descotte
Buenos Aires Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Julian Cundom
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Pedro Martinez
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Andrea Pellegrino
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–87 matches
| Metric | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 60% |
| Sets won | 32% | 56% |
| Games won | 43% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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