Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Valerio AboianPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luis Carlos Alvarez and Valerio Aboian have met 2 times since 2024; Luis Carlos Alvarez leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Puerto Vallarta in 2024 on hard. Alvarez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alvarez has taken 4 sets to Aboian's 1. Their most recent meeting: Luis Carlos Alvarez won at Bogota Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carlos Alvarez | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luis Carlos Alvarez | Valerio Aboian | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 4/7 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 5/12 | 30% | 21/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 86% | 36/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 4/6 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carlos Alvarez 1, Aboian 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alvarez
🧱 The Wall
Aboian
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Valerio Aboian.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 19, 2024
Puerto Vallarta
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alvarez | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luis Carlos Alvarez | Valerio Aboian | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -20.5% | -11.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.82u | -1.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | BUL → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Aboian has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Alvarez's 0%).
| Opponent | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Hernan Casanova | L 57 26 | W 62 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Valerio Aboian
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Hernan Casanova
Quito Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Felipe Rivadeneira
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Nav Dayal
Futures 2026
Jun 15
Zsombor Velcz
M25 Harlingen 1 · 1st Round
Oct 29
Asahi Harazaki
M25 Norman 1 · 1st Round
Oct 22
Keegan Smith
M15 Fayetteville 1 · Final
Sep 21
Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Maribor · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Karlo Kajin
M25 Maribor · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Vid Mohar
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 25
Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nik Mikovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Aljaz Jeran
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–70 matches
| Metric | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 59% |
| Sets won | 55% | 57% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alvarez | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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