Luca Nardi vs Otto VirtanenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Nardi and Otto Virtanen have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Manama Challenger in 2026 on hard. Across all meetings Nardi has taken 2 sets to Virtanen's 2. Their most recent meeting: Otto Virtanen won at Wimbledon (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nardi | Virtanen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Nardi | Otto Virtanen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 14/22 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 19/40 | 40% | 23/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | 57% | 24/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 49% | 18/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 74% | 32/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 60% | 26/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nardi 1, Virtanen 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Virtanen
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 24, 2026
Wimbledon
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 31, 2026
Manama Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nardi | Virtanen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Nardi | Otto Virtanen | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 70% | 14/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 25% | 5/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nardi | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 15–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | +1.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | +0.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nardi | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Virtanen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Nardi's 50%).
| Opponent | Nardi | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 60 | W 46 64 64 75 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | W 67 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L 36 67 | L 62 57 46 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 76 36 26 | W 63 67 64 |
| Ugo Blanchet | W 64 64 | W 75 76 |
| Stefano Travaglia | L 26 61 16 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Filippo Romano
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Diego Dedura
Tampere Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Maks Kasnikowski
Tampere Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Tampere Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–61 matches
| Metric | Nardi | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 62% |
| Sets won | 50% | 61% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nardi | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nardi | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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