Luca Castelnuovo vs Tung-Lin WuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castelnuovo and Tung-Lin Wu have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Castelnuovo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 2 sets to Wu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castelnuovo won at Shanghai Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Tung-Lin Wu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 24/29 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 8/24 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 13/53 | 28% | 17/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 15/24 | 68% | 30/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 79% | 33/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 1, Wu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Wu
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luca Castelnuovo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 10, 2026
Shanghai Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Tung-Lin Wu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | +45.9% | -26.6% |
| Units P/L | +6.43u | -1.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 765 mi · 1,231 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Wu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Castelnuovo's 25%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Ivashka | L 36 46 | W 62 64 |
| Coleman Wong | L 46 64 57 | L 26 26 |
| James McCabe | W 64 64 | L 57 67 |
| S D Prajwal Dev | L 36 46 | W 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Omar Jasika
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tung-Lin Wu
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Max Dahlin
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, TPE-SWE 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 20
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Alexander Binda
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Fajing Sun
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Hiroki Moriya
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Taisei Ichikawa
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 19
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–60 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 62% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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