Louis Larue vs Toufik SahtaliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Louis Larue and Toufik Sahtali have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Monastir 36 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Larue has taken 3 sets to Sahtali's 3. Their most recent meeting: Toufik Sahtali won at M15 Monastir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Larue | Sahtali | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Louis Larue | Toufik Sahtali | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 9/14 | 62% | 31/50 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 7/24 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 12/38 | 44% | 34/77 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 5/7 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 76% | 31/41 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 11/14 | 80% | 41/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 9/14 | 61% | 31/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Larue 0, Sahtali 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Larue
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sahtali
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2026
M15 Monastir
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 23, 2025
M15 Monastir 36
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Larue | Sahtali | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Louis Larue | Toufik Sahtali | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Larue | Sahtali |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–10 | 8–3 |
| Avg odds | 4.16 | 1.53 |
| ROI % | -38.6% | -4.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.40u | -0.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Larue | Sahtali |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → FIN → SWE → TUN | TUN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Larue has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Sahtali's 50%).
| Opponent | Larue | Sahtali |
|---|---|---|
| Erik Johansson | W 61 62 | W 64 62 |
| Seydina Andre | W 75 46 62 | L 64 57 67 |
| Benjamin Pietri | W 61 64 | L 46 67 |
| Amir Omarkhanov | L 36 26 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Toufik Sahtali
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Stefan Seifert
M15 Bastad · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Erik Johansson
M15 Bastad · 1st Round
Aug 20
Erik Johansson
M15 Bastad · 1st Round
Aug 20
Jeri Lassila
M15 Turku · 1st Round
Aug 11
Aryan Shah
M25+H Tauste · 1st Round
Aug 4
Lui Maxted
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Romain Andres
M15 Rognac · 1st Round
Jul 21
Louis Larue
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Nav Dayal
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Thando Longwe-Smit
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Aug 26
Charles Bertimon
M15 Monastir · Semifinals
Jul 18
Dominick Mosejczuk
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Karim Mabrouk
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Younes Lalami Laaroussi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 15
Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–77 matches
| Metric | Larue | Sahtali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 65% |
| Sets won | 40% | 61% |
| Games won | 45% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Larue | Sahtali |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Larue | Sahtali |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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