Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Nicolas ZanellatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
#511 · 26 yrs · R
4w2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇧🇷Nicolas Zanellato
#730 · 24 yrs · R
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Nicolas Zanellato have met 2 times since 2025; Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Santos in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Rodriguez leads 2–0. Rodriguez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rodriguez has taken 4 sets to Zanellato's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez won at M25 Sao Paulo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Joaquin Rodriguez | Zanellato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Nicolas Zanellato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 35/43 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 12/31 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 20/74 | 28% | 17/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 7/11 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 41/48 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 35/48 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Joaquin Rodriguez 1, Zanellato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodriguez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Zanellato
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
M25 Sao Paulo
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 4, 2025
Santos
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodriguez | Zanellato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Nicolas Zanellato | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodriguez | Zanellato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–1 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +3.0% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.15u | -1.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodriguez | Zanellato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BRA | BRA → PAR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rodriguez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Zanellato's 40%).
| Opponent | Rodriguez | Zanellato |
|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 46 06 | L 06 16 |
| Alejandro Arcila | L 26 46 | W 60 61 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | L 67 46 | L 36 64 26 |
| Maximo Zeitune | W 64 36 76 | W 76 46 63 |
| Jose Pereira | W 63 63 | W 46 64 75 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | L 16 26 | L 26 26 |
| Nicolas Villalon | W 62 67 63 | W 46 61 64 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 64 63 | L 63 36 26 |
| Franco Ribero | W 62 62 | L 64 46 46 |
| Santiago De La Fuente | W 61 61 | L 67 60 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 29
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Jul 25
Jose Pereira
M25 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Nicolas Zanellato
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Maximo Zeitune
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 22
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Villa Constitucion · Final
Jul 19
Thiago Cigarran
M15 Villa Constitucion · Semifinals
Jul 18
Bastian Malla
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Juan Bautista Otegui
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Jackson Pereira Xavier
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Luiz Felipe Silva
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida
M15 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M15 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–74 matches
| Metric | Rodriguez | Zanellato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodriguez | Zanellato |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodriguez | Zanellato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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