Lorenzo Carboni vs Pedro MartinezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Carboni and Pedro Martinez have met 1 time since 2023; Pedro Martinez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carboni has taken 0 sets to Martinez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Pedro Martinez won at Olbia Challenger (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Como Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- August 31 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 2.95 or longer, Lorenzo Carboni has won 3 of 15 matches, 20% against a fair-price expectation of 24%.
Priced around 1.32 or shorter, Pedro Martinez has won 52 of 73 matches, 71% against a fair-price expectation of 75%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Lorenzo Carboni and Pedro Martinez meet next at the Como Challenger on August 31 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carboni | Martinez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Carboni | Pedro Martinez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 9/29 | 32% | 11/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/57 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carboni 0, Martinez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carboni
🛡️ The Spoiler
Martinez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pedro Martinez.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 17, 2023
Olbia Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carboni | Martinez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Carboni | Pedro Martinez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carboni | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 6–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -69.3% | -36.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.85u | -5.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carboni | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BUL → ITA → SUI | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Lausanne · Semifinals
Aug 29
Noah Karma
M25 Lausanne · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Arthur Bellegy
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Daniel Michalski
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Petr Brunclik
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Valentin Royer
Kingston 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Kingston 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Garrett Johns
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Evan Zhu
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Hugo Dellien
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luciano Darderi
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Henrique Rocha
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–59 matches
| Metric | Carboni | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 41% |
| Sets won | 49% | 43% |
| Games won | 50% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carboni | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carboni | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |