Lorenzo Carboni vs Maximilian HombergPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Carboni and Maximilian Homberg have met 1 time since 2026; Lorenzo Carboni leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carboni has taken 2 sets to Homberg's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Carboni won at Todi Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carboni | Homberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Carboni | Maximilian Homberg | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 12/32 | 14% | 2/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/66 | 24% | 8/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 31/42 | 94% | 16/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 24/42 | 82% | 14/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carboni 1, Homberg 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carboni
⚔️ The Gladiator
Homberg
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maximilian Homberg.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 10, 2026
Todi Challenger
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carboni | Homberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Carboni | Maximilian Homberg | ||
| 1 or more | 59% | 10/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carboni | Homberg |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -29.8% | -15.5% |
| Units P/L | -5.36u | -0.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Carboni and Homberg posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Carboni | Homberg |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Ulrich | W 62 61 | W 76 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Iannaccone
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Sander Jong
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jaume Casas Blasi
M25 Zaragoza · 1st Round
Sep 29
Daniel Michalski
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 21
Matteo Sciahbasi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Tim Handel
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Carboni
Todi Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Valerio Aboian
Todi Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Daniele Rapagnetta
M15 Gubbio · Quarterfinals
Jul 18
Peter Buldorini
M15 Gubbio · 1st Round
Jul 16
Niccolò Ciavarella
M15 Gubbio · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Pedro Vives Marcos
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Francesco Passaro
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–66 matches
| Metric | Carboni | Homberg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 59% |
| Sets won | 52% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carboni | Homberg |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carboni | Homberg |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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