Linang Xiao vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Linang Xiao and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 1 time since 2024; Linang Xiao leads 1–0. Across all meetings Xiao has taken 2 sets to Mochizuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Linang Xiao won at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai (2024).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Chengdu Open - Chengdu
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 21 · 2:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.10 or shorter, Shintaro Mochizuki has won 10 of 12 (83%). The price implied 90%, so Shintaro Mochizuki has fallen 7 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Linang Xiao and Shintaro Mochizuki meet next at the Chengdu Open - Chengdu on September 21 on hard.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Xiao | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Linang Xiao | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 13/13 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 8/30 | 44% | 24/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 9/12 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 57% | 13/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Xiao 1, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Xiao
🏹 Frontrunner
Mochizuki
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,062 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 30, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Xiao | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Linang Xiao | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 18% | 3/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Xiao | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 12–9 |
| Avg odds | 4.23 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | -47.8% | +5.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.39u | +1.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Xiao | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | — | 8,001 mi · 12,876 km |
| Route | CHN | USA → CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Kaichi Uchida
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Colin Sinclair
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Sep 2
Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Xiuyuan Ye
M15 Luan · 1st Round
May 20
Andre Ilagan
Wuxi Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
May 3
Filip Peliwo
M25 Luzhou · 1st Round
Apr 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Braden Shick
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Daniel Milavsky
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Soon Woo Kwon
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
J.J. Wolf
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–62 matches
| Metric | Xiao | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 40% |
| Sets won | 50% | 45% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Xiao | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Xiao | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |