Liam Draxl vs Toby SamuelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Liam Draxl and Toby Samuel have met 1 time since 2026; Toby Samuel leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Samuel leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Draxl has taken 0 sets to Samuel's 2. Their most recent meeting: Toby Samuel won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Draxl | Samuel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liam Draxl | Toby Samuel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 86% | 64/74 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/61 | 19% | 17/88 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 16/36 | 75% | 52/69 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 13/26 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 94% | 67/71 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 18/32 | 90% | 64/71 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Draxl 0, Samuel 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Draxl
🎾 All-Court
Samuel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Liam Draxl.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 26, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Draxl | Samuel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liam Draxl | Toby Samuel | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 5 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Draxl | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -20.2% | +21.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.83u | +2.79u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Draxl | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 1,911 mi · 3,076 km | — |
| Route | CAN → JAM | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Draxl has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Samuel's 71%).
| Opponent | Draxl | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Clement Chidekh | W 76 64 | L 36 75 36 |
| August Holmgren | W 75 16 64 | W 63 63 |
| Mikael Arseneault | W 36 76 60 | W 62 60 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 64 67 76 | W 16 76 64 |
| Ilia Simakin | W 64 67 62 | W 60 62 |
| Mitchell Krueger | W 63 16 76 | L 46 46 |
| Jay Clarke | W 63 36 64 | W 46 76 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Shintaro Mochizuki
Winnipeg Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Clement Chidekh
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
August Holmgren
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 24
Millen Hurrion
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jack Pinnington Jones
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Yosuke Watanuki
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mikael Arseneault
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jakub Mensik
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–90 matches
| Metric | Draxl | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 82% |
| Sets won | 50% | 78% |
| Games won | 50% | 61% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Draxl | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Draxl | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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