Liam Draxl vs Nicolas MejiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Liam Draxl and Nicolas Mejia have met 3 times since 2025; Liam Draxl leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Oeiras 3 Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Draxl leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Mejia leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Draxl has taken 5 sets to Mejia's 3. Their most recent meeting: Liam Draxl won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Draxl | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liam Draxl | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 23/41 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 27/67 | 33% | 21/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 19/41 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 12/25 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 23/38 | 62% | 21/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Draxl 1, Mejia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Draxl
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 27, 2025
Savannah Challenger
C Clay · Final
Jan 24, 2025
Oeiras 3 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Draxl | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liam Draxl | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Draxl | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | +6.8% | +30.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.15u | +4.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Draxl | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 6,592 mi · 10,609 km | 5,846 mi · 9,409 km |
| Route | USA → CHN | FRA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mejia has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Draxl's 38%).
| Opponent | Draxl | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 75 57 46 | L 60 26 46 |
| Henry Searle | L 67 62 46 | W 63 63 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 64 57 67 | W 64 64 64 |
| Adam Walton | L 46 46 | L 67 06 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 60 63 | L 26 26 |
| Gustavo Heide | W 63 64 | W 64 63 |
| Andres Martin | L 16 57 | W 64 64 |
| Murphy Cassone | W 62 62 | L 36 75 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
You Du
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Hugo Gaston
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Henry Searle
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Jack Kennedy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andrew Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Michael Zheng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Ugo Blanchet
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tallon Griekspoor
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Liam Draxl
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–68 matches
| Metric | Draxl | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 59% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Draxl | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Draxl | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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