Li Tu vs Lorenzo CarboniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Li Tu and Lorenzo Carboni have met 1 time since 2026; Lorenzo Carboni leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tu has taken 0 sets to Carboni's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Carboni won at Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tu | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Li Tu | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 15/21 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 4/18 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/39 | 32% | 21/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 15% | 2/13 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 76% | 31/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 59% | 24/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tu 0, Carboni 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tu
🤖 Servebot
Carboni
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 900 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Li Tu.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 31, 2026
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tu | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Li Tu | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tu | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -44.6% | -29.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -5.36u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tu | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Tu and Carboni posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Tu | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Connaughton | W 60 62 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
James Kent Trotter
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nicolas Oliveira
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Alafia Ayeni
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Roger Pascual Ferra
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Quinn Vandecasteele
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Lorenzo Carboni
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Lukas Neumayer
Vicenza Challenger · 1st Round
May 25
Federico Iannaccone
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Sander Jong
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jaume Casas Blasi
M25 Zaragoza · 1st Round
Sep 29
Daniel Michalski
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 21
Matteo Sciahbasi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–65 matches
| Metric | Tu | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 52% |
| Sets won | 52% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tu | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tu | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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