Kuan-Yi Lee vs Naoki NakagawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kuan-Yi Lee and Naoki Nakagawa have met 1 time since 2026; Naoki Nakagawa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lee has taken 1 sets to Nakagawa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Naoki Nakagawa won at M25 Urayasu (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lee | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kuan-Yi Lee | Naoki Nakagawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 26/40 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 10/22 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/62 | 30% | 10/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 18/32 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 13/18 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 72% | 13/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lee 0, Nakagawa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lee
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nakagawa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 5, 2026
M25 Urayasu
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lee | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kuan-Yi Lee | Naoki Nakagawa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lee | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 6–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -16.5% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.65u | +0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Lee and Nakagawa posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Lee | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Masamichi Imamura | L 16 26 | W 64 64 |
| Taketo Takamisawa | W 46 75 61 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dong Ju Kim
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Sapporo · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Seiya Nakanishi
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yuto Oki
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Naoki Nakagawa
M25 Urayasu · Semifinals
Sep 5
Sora Fukuda
M25 Urayasu · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Makoto Ochi
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sho Katayama
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 1
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Urayasu · Final
Sep 6
Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Urayasu · Semifinals
Sep 5
Ryota Tanuma
M25 Urayasu · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Naoya Honda
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yua Taka
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–62 matches
| Metric | Lee | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 58% |
| Sets won | 61% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lee | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lee | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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