Kei Nishikori vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Thiago Monteiro have met 2 times since 2019; Kei Nishikori leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2019 on grass. Nishikori has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 6 sets to Monteiro's 2. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | 44% | 24/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 59% | 19/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 307 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 12, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nishikori | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kei Nishikori | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -15.7% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | +1.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | JPN | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monteiro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | L 64 57 36 | W 64 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Vitaliy Sachko
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Stefano Travaglia
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–54 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 61% |
| Sets won | 50% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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