Kei Nishikori vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Stan Wawrinka have met 8 times since 2015; Stan Wawrinka leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Wawrinka leads 4–3. Wawrinka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 8 sets to Wawrinka's 12. Their most recent meeting: Stan Wawrinka won at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 3, Wawrinka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Wawrinka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stan Wawrinka.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 14, 2019
Rotterdam
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 6, 2017
Brisbane
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 6, 2016
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 9, 2016
US Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 26, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 28, 2015
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nishikori | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kei Nishikori | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 2.74 |
| ROI % | -15.7% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | JPN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nishikori has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Wawrinka's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ofner | W 61 26 62 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Gustavo Heide
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–35 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 34% |
| Sets won | 50% | 40% |
| Games won | 50% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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