Kei Nishikori vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Stan Wawrinka have met 8 times since 2015; Stan Wawrinka leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Wawrinka leads 4–3. Wawrinka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 8 sets to Wawrinka's 12. Their most recent meeting: Stan Wawrinka won at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 4/8 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 3/6 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 7/14 | 35% | 13/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 4/9 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 3, Wawrinka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Wawrinka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 14, 2019
Rotterdam
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 6, 2017
Brisbane
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 6, 2016
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 9, 2016
US Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 26, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 28, 2015
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.62 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.21u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva · 2nd Round
May 20
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva · 1st Round
May 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–42 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 45% |
| Sets won | 54% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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