Kei Nishikori vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Roger Federer have met 5 times since 2015; Roger Federer leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Finals in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Federer leads 3–1. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 4 sets to Federer's 9. Their most recent meeting: Roger Federer won at Wimbledon (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 4/8 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 3/6 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 7/14 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 4/9 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 1, Federer 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Federer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Kei Nishikori and Roger Federer are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 606 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 10, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 11, 2018
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 2, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 11, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 7, 2015
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.62 | - |
| ROI % | +10.5% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.21u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 11
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon · Round of 32
Jul 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Halle · Round of 16
Jun 14
Ilya Ivashka
Halle · Round of 32
Jun 14
Dominik Koepfer
Roland Garros · Round of 32
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–14 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | - |
| Sets won | 54% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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