Kei Nishikori vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇯🇵Kei Nishikori
#477 · 36 yrs · R
5w1 meeting · sets 2–0

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wKei Nishikori and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 1 time since 2019; Kei Nishikori leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 2 sets to Baena's 0. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Barcelona (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 4/8 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 3/6 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 7/14 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 4/9 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 1, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kei Nishikori.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.62 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.21u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Nishikori and Baena posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Colton Smith | W 62 63 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–47 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 55% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.