Kei Nishikori vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 1 time since 2019; Kei Nishikori leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 2 sets to Baena's 0. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Barcelona (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 1, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nishikori | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kei Nishikori | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -15.7% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | JPN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nishikori has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Baena's 33%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 67 | L 46 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 61 26 62 | L 64 36 36 |
| Colton Smith | W 62 63 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–46 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 52% |
| Sets won | 50% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.