Kei Nishikori vs Marco TrungellitiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Marco Trungelliti have met 2 times since 2019; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 3 sets to Trungelliti's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marco Trungelliti won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | 48% | 30/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 28% | 9/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 47% | 15/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 53% | 18/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 1, Trungelliti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Trungelliti
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Kei Nishikori and Marco Trungelliti are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 280 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nishikori | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kei Nishikori | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -15.7% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | +0.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 5,160 mi · 8,304 km |
| Route | JPN | POL → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Trungelliti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Nishikori's 40%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 67 | L 36 57 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 67 63 64 | W 06 76 16 63 64 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 61 26 62 | W 46 64 76 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 36 26 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 63 46 26 | W 64 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martin Landaluce
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Thiago Monteiro
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Filip Pieczonka
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Sean Cuenin
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Tiago Pereira
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–68 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 53% |
| Sets won | 50% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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