Keegan Smith vs Yu Hsiou HsuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Yu Hsiou Hsu have met 1 time since 2026; Yu Hsiou Hsu leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 1 sets to Hsu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yu Hsiou Hsu won at Ningboo Challenger (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Matsuyama Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 8 · 10:30 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.78 or shorter, Keegan Smith has won 39 of 65 (60%). That is level with the 60% the price implied.
At 1.94 or longer, Yu Hsiou Hsu has won 10 of 25 (40%). That is level with the 42% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Yu Hsiou Hsu meets Keegan Smith in the 1st Round of the Matsuyama Challenger on hard court November 8. Hsu, ranked 304, holds a 1-0 head-to-head record against Smith, who sits at 192. Both players enter on difficult stretches; Hsu has dropped two straight, while Smith has lost three consecutive.
Smith has won 4 of 5 meetings against their recent common opponents, posting a 45% record on hard courts. Hsu, by contrast, has won 11 of 20 hard-court matches in the sample and leads 3-2 against the same pool of opponents. Hsu arrives with three matches in the past five days; Smith has played only twice in that span.
Hsu operates as a counterpuncher, favoring patience and angles from the baseline. Smith builds points around his serve, a pattern reflected in his archetype. The hard court should suit Smith's approach, though consistency has eluded him recently. Hsu will need to stay composed within rallies and capitalize on second-serve opportunities to control the tempo against a player who relies on holding serve.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Hsiou Hsu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Yu Hsiou Hsu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 37/58 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 49% | 17/35 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 38/93 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 25/53 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 23/33 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 24/51 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 48/61 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 37/61 | 69% | 25/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Hsiou Hsu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🤖 Servebot
Hsu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,416 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keegan Smith.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 27, 2026
Ningboo Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Hsu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Smith | Yu Hsiou Hsu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | -16.1% | -29.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.58u | -2.93u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Hsu's 33%).
| Opponent | Smith | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 67 36 | W 76 64 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | W 76 36 63 | L 46 26 |
| Hiroki Moriya | L 63 67 36 | W 62 63 |
| Ilya Ivashka | W 64 64 | L 36 36 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 67 36 | L 64 46 46 |
| Soon Woo Kwon | L 64 36 36 | L 46 46 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 63 46 62 | L 57 26 |
| Enzo Aguiard | W 64 64 | W 76 61 |
| Neil Oberleitner | W 63 63 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jake Delaney
Taipei Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 3
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Tristan Schoolkate
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Max Purcell
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Martin Landaluce
Jinan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Vit Kopriva
Jinan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 14
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Omar Jasika
Taipei Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 3
Yaroslav Demin
Ningboo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 31
Mert Alkaya
Ningboo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 30
Yuta Shimizu
Ningboo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Keegan Smith
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Jie Cui
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Olle Wallin
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, TPE-SWE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–93 matches
| Metric | Smith | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 54% |
| Sets won | 59% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |