Keegan Smith vs Tristan SchoolkatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Guangzhou Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 23 · 2:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.38 or longer, Keegan Smith has won 14 of 46 (30%). That is level with the 32% the price implied.
At 1.53 or shorter, Tristan Schoolkate has won 45 of 65 (69%). That is level with the 67% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Keegan Smith meets Tristan Schoolkate in the Guangzhou Challenger quarterfinals on hard court on October 23. Smith ranks 196th and has won 6 of his last 10 matches; Schoolkate sits at 169th. Smith played four matches in the past 14 days, while Schoolkate competed twice in that span.
The two have never faced each other. Smith defeated Juan Pablo Ficovich and Stefanos Sakellaridis among recent common opponents but lost to Alafia Ayeni. Schoolkate beat Ayeni while falling to both Ficovich and Sakellaridis.
Both players build around their serve, relying on first and second delivery consistency. Smith has won 55% of his hard court matches in recent play; Tristan Schoolkate has reached 60% on the surface. The quarterfinal will ask each man to sustain that serving precision and convert the few break points that arise when his opponent's delivery falters.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 39/61 | 63% | 20/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 15/34 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 37/95 | 42% | 26/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 27/53 | 50% | 18/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 24/35 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 25/50 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 50/61 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 39/61 | 69% | 20/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🤖 Servebot
Schoolkate
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Keegan Smith and Tristan Schoolkate are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,752 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Smith and Schoolkate have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Smith | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 5 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 11% | 2/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -4.3% | -1.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.59u | -0.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 5,986 mi · 9,634 km |
| Route | USA | FRA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Schoolkate's 30%).
| Opponent | Smith | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | W 36 64 76 | L 67 26 |
| Luka Pavlovic | L 26 67 | L 57 46 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | W 76 36 63 | L 46 63 57 |
| Matteo Martineau | L 63 67 26 | L 67 76 67 |
| Soon Woo Kwon | L 64 36 36 | L |
| Quinn Vandecasteele | L 67 46 | W 26 62 64 |
| August Holmgren | W 63 36 63 | W 63 67 63 |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | W 61 76 | L 36 57 |
| Alex Bolt | W 64 64 | W 36 76 64 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 46 63 62 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Max Purcell
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Martin Landaluce
Jinan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Vit Kopriva
Jinan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 14
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Sergey Fomin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Luka Pavlovic
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 14
Dane Sweeny
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Harold Mayot
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Philip Henning
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Matteo Martineau
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Harold Mayot
Rennes Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Matisse Bobichon
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–95 matches
| Metric | Smith | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 50% |
| Sets won | 60% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |