Keegan Smith and Quinn Vandecasteele have met 3 times since 2023; Keegan Smith leads 2–1. Their most recent meeting: Quinn Vandecasteele won at M25 Winston-Salem NC (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Vandecasteele
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,522 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Keegan Smith.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Smith | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 10 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | +15.8% | -20.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.84u | -3.08u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Smith and Vandecasteele posted a 63% win rate.
| Opponent | Smith | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Joshua Sheehy | W 63 63 | W 63 64 |
| Daniel Milavsky | L 36 57 | W 63 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 67 46 | L 26 36 |
| Ryan Fishback | W 63 36 63 | W 64 64 |
| Braden Shick | W 60 76 | L 64 16 46 |
| Noah Schachter | W 64 63 | W 63 63 |
| Andrew Fenty | L 64 67 67 | W 63 62 |
| Aidan McHugh | W 76 76 | L 46 61 67 |
Last five matches per player
Alex Bolt
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Rio Noguchi
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Finn Bass
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Hamish Stewart
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Ben Jones
Lexus Birmingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Manish Sureshkumar
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Round of 32
May 19
Philip Sekulic
KARNATAKA OPEN · Final
May 16
Ilya Ivashka
KARNATAKA OPEN · Semifinals
May 15
Cruz Hewitt
Dublin Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Kaichi Uchida
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jurij Rodionov
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 8
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Aidan Kim
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Erik Arutiunian
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Erik Arutiunian
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Joaquim Almeida
M15 Vero Beach FL · Semifinals
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 73–83 matches
| Metric | Smith | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 60% |
| Sets won | 65% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
