Keegan Smith vs Nerman FaticPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Nerman Fatic have met 1 time since 2026; Keegan Smith leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 2 sets to Fatic's 1. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Smith won at Bundesliga - men (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Fatic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Nerman Fatic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 40/59 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 35/94 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 21/32 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 23/50 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 49/61 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 40/61 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Fatic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🤖 Servebot
Fatic
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keegan Smith.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 12, 2026
Bundesliga - men
C Clay
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -34.4% | -9.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | -0.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Smith and Fatic posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Joshua Sheehy | W 63 63 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Edward Winter
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexis Galarneau
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Maxim Mrva
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Matthew William Donald
Prague Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Alec Beckley
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Keegan Smith
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Kyrian Jacquet
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Luka Mikrut
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Elmer Moller
Zagreb Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Zagreb Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–94 matches
| Metric | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 47% |
| Sets won | 60% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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