Keegan Smith vs Nerman FaticPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Nerman Fatic have met 1 time since 2026; Keegan Smith leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 2 sets to Fatic's 1. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Smith won at Bundesliga - men (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Fatic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Nerman Fatic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 48/67 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 15/32 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 34/99 | 35% | 12/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 35/59 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 21/29 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 27/50 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 56/66 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 48/66 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Fatic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Fatic
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 12, 2026
Bundesliga - men
C Clay
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.32 |
| ROI % | +31.9% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +4.78u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CZE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fatic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Smith's 50%).
| Opponent | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Joshua Sheehy | W 63 63 | W 63 64 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | L 36 46 | W 36 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Paul Inchauspe
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Digvijay Pratap Singh
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nerman Fatic
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Niels McDonald
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Zsombor Piros
Brasov Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Guido Ivan Justo
Brasov Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Maxim Mrva
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Keegan Smith
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Kyrian Jacquet
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Luka Mikrut
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Elmer Moller
Zagreb Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Zagreb Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 11
Joshua Sheehy
Zagreb Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 10
Zdenek Kolar
Ostrava Challenger · Quarterfinals
May 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–99 matches
| Metric | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 51% |
| Sets won | 64% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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