Keegan Smith vs Mitchell KruegerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Mitchell Krueger have met 3 times since 2022; Mitchell Krueger leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cary Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Krueger leads 2–1. Krueger has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Smith has taken 3 sets to Krueger's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mitchell Krueger won at Columbus Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Krueger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Mitchell Krueger | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 40/59 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 35/94 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 21/32 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 23/50 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 49/61 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 40/61 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 1, Krueger 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🤖 Servebot
Krueger
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2026
Columbus Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 15, 2026
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 12, 2022
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Krueger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Smith | Mitchell Krueger | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 2.61 |
| ROI % | -34.4% | +17.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | +1.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Krueger's 44%).
| Opponent | Smith | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Kozlov | W 63 62 | W 62 36 63 |
| Tyler Zink | W 63 67 76 | W 76 63 |
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | W 64 62 | L 67 57 |
| Gavin Young | W 64 64 | L 64 46 57 |
| Gavin Young | W 64 64 | L 64 46 57 |
| Oliver Okonkwo | W 63 64 | W 62 76 |
| Antoine Ghibaudo | W 76 75 | W 62 61 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 67 46 | L 36 62 26 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 46 63 62 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Edward Winter
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexis Galarneau
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Keegan Smith
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Stefan Kozlov
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Tyler Zink
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Sebastian Gorzny
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Michael Zheng
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Keegan Smith
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–94 matches
| Metric | Smith | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 47% |
| Sets won | 60% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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