Katerina Siniakova vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#87 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wKaterina Siniakova and Varvara Gracheva have met 2 times since 2021; Katerina Siniakova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg in 2021 on grass. Siniakova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 4 sets to Gracheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katerina Siniakova won at Jiangxi Open - Nanchang (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 13/35 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 2, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 20, 2023
Jiangxi Open - Nanchang
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 20, 2021
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.80 | - |
| ROI % | -18.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.10u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Gracheva's 25%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 61 46 26 | L 36 16 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 63 | L 62 26 06 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 63 62 | W 62 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 46 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Magda Linette
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–35 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 53% |
| Sets won | 52% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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