Katerina Siniakova vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฟKaterina Siniakova
#39 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐ซ๐ทVarvara Gracheva
#148 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
24wKaterina Siniakova and Varvara Gracheva have met 2 times since 2021; Katerina Siniakova leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg in 2021 on grass. Siniakova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 4 sets to Gracheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katerina Siniakova won at Jiangxi Open - Nanchang (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 16/20 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 12/39 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 2, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
๐น Frontrunner
Gracheva
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 20, 2023
Jiangxi Open - Nanchang
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jun 20, 2021
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | - |
| ROI % | -20.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.67u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Gracheva's 0%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 67 61 61 | L 67 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 46 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami ยท 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 16โ39 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 38% |
| Sets won | 53% | 36% |
| Games won | 52% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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