Katerina Siniakova vs Maria Lourdes CarlePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#87 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇷Maria Lourdes Carle
#238 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Katerina Siniakova and Maria Lourdes Carle have met 1 time since 2025; Katerina Siniakova leads 1–0. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 2 sets to Carle's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katerina Siniakova won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Lourdes Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 13/35 | 48% | 26/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 20% | 4/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 1, Lourdes Carle 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Carle
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 59% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 536 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katerina Siniakova.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 5, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakova | Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katerina Siniakova | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.80 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | -48.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.10u | -5.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | ESP → SRB → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Carle's 40%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L | L 26 26 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 62 62 | L 46 67 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 62 64 | W 63 46 63 |
| Yue Yuan | W 64 62 | L 67 63 46 |
| Emilie Chen | W 62 60 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Magda Linette
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Nuria Brancaccio
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rositsa Dencheva
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Eva Vedder
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Gina Feistel
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Federica Urgesi
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–54 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 46% |
| Sets won | 52% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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