Katerina Siniakova vs Maria Lourdes CarlePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#39 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇷Maria Lourdes Carle
#219 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
5wKaterina Siniakova and Maria Lourdes Carle have met 1 time since 2025; Katerina Siniakova leads 1–0. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 2 sets to Carle's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katerina Siniakova won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Lourdes Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 16/20 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 12/39 | 40% | 17/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 1, Lourdes Carle 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Carle
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 65% vs 🧱 The Wall across 142 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katerina Siniakova.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 5, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakova | Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katerina Siniakova | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -20.9% | +29.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.67u | +2.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Carle's 0%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Blinkova | W 62 62 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Emma Lene
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 1st Round
Jul 28
Anhelina Kalinina
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jule Niemeier
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Marina Bassols Ribera
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Barbora Palicova
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Kathinka Von Deichmann
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 14
Anna Blinkova
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Laura Pigossi
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–43 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 47% |
| Sets won | 53% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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