Karl Poling vs Thomas FancuttPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karl Poling and Thomas Fancutt have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M25 East Lansing in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Poling has taken 2 sets to Fancutt's 3. Their most recent meeting: Thomas Fancutt won at Kingston 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Fancutt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karl Poling | Thomas Fancutt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 19/34 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 26/65 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 10/24 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 22/36 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 12/28 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 54% | 7/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poling 0, Fancutt 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Fancutt
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 321 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thomas Fancutt.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 25, 2026
Kingston 2 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 13, 2026
M25 East Lansing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poling | Fancutt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karl Poling | Thomas Fancutt | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Fancutt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 2.50 |
| ROI % | +71.0% | -37.6% |
| Units P/L | +13.50u | -2.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Fancutt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → JAM | USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fancutt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Poling's 0%).
| Opponent | Poling | Fancutt |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | L 57 46 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kenta Miyoshi
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Matt Kuhar
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Luis Felipe Miguel
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Karl Poling
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Lincoln Battle
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jie Cui
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Hiroki Moriya
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Kaylan Bigun
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Mathys Erhard
Plovdiv Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–65 matches
| Metric | Poling | Fancutt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 56% |
| Sets won | 51% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poling | Fancutt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poling | Fancutt |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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