Karl Poling vs Thai-Son KwiatkowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Karl Poling
#452 · 27 yrs · L
Title1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇺🇸Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
#1596 · 31 yrs · R
25wKarl Poling and Thai-Son Kwiatkowski have met 1 time since 2025; Karl Poling leads 1–0. Across all meetings Poling has taken 2 sets to Kwiatkowski's 1. Their most recent meeting: Karl Poling won at Winston-Salem (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Kwiatkowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karl Poling | Thai-Son Kwiatkowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 19/34 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 26/65 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 10/24 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 22/36 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 12/28 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poling 0, Kwiatkowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Kwiatkowski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thai-Son Kwiatkowski.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 16, 2025
Winston-Salem
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | - |
| ROI % | +71.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +13.50u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → JAM | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Poling has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kwiatkowski's 0%).
| Opponent | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Blaise Bicknell | W 75 75 | L 62 36 57 |
| Patrick Zahraj | L 57 46 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kenta Miyoshi
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Matt Kuhar
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Blaise Bicknell
Arizona Tennis Classic · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 10
Sho Shimabukuro
Nexo Dallas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 7
Patrick Zahraj
Charlottesville Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Alex Rybakov
Winston-Salem Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 9
Karl Poling
Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Murphy Cassone
Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Strong Kirchheimer
Winston-Salem · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Skander Mansouri
Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–65 matches
| Metric | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 0% |
| Sets won | 51% | 11% |
| Games won | 50% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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