Karl Poling vs Thai-Son KwiatkowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karl Poling and Thai-Son Kwiatkowski have met 1 time since 2025; Karl Poling leads 1–0. Across all meetings Poling has taken 2 sets to Kwiatkowski's 1. Their most recent meeting: Karl Poling won at Winston-Salem (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Kwiatkowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karl Poling | Thai-Son Kwiatkowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 18/32 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 30/67 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 9/23 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 27/40 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 14/35 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 18/33 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poling 0, Kwiatkowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poling
🎾 All-Court
Kwiatkowski
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thai-Son Kwiatkowski.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 16, 2025
Winston-Salem
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.64 | - |
| ROI % | -16.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.50u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 461 mi · 742 km | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Poling has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kwiatkowski's 0%).
| Opponent | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Zahraj | L 63 36 26 | L 57 36 |
| Blaise Bicknell | W 75 75 | L 62 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Patrick Zahraj
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Titouan Droguet
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Nikola Slavic
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Novak Novakovic
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Blaise Bicknell
Arizona Tennis Classic · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 10
Elias Ymer
Phoenix Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Nexo Dallas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 7
Patrick Zahraj
Charlottesville Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Alex Rybakov
Winston-Salem Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 9
Karl Poling
Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Murphy Cassone
Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–67 matches
| Metric | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 0% |
| Sets won | 49% | 11% |
| Games won | 50% | 37% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poling | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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