Karl Poling vs Luis Carlos Alvarez ValdesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karl Poling and Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes have met 1 time since 2026; Karl Poling leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Poling leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Poling has taken 2 sets to Valdes's 1. Their most recent meeting: Karl Poling won at M25 East Lansing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karl Poling | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 18/32 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 30/67 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 9/23 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 27/40 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 14/35 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 18/33 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poling 0, Carlos Alvarez Valdes 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
M25 East Lansing
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poling | Valdes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karl Poling | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.64 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -16.7% | -43.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.50u | -3.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 461 mi · 742 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Patrick Zahraj
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Titouan Droguet
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Nikola Slavic
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Alessandro Spadola
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 6
Svyatoslav Gulin
Bari Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Rio Noguchi
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Tyler Bowers
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–67 matches
| Metric | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 54% |
| Sets won | 49% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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