Karl Poling vs Luis Carlos Alvarez ValdesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karl Poling and Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes have met 1 time since 2026; Karl Poling leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Poling leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Poling has taken 2 sets to Valdes's 1. Their most recent meeting: Karl Poling won at M25 East Lansing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karl Poling | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 19/34 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 26/65 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 10/24 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 22/36 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 12/28 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 67% | 6/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poling 0, Carlos Alvarez Valdes 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
M25 East Lansing
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poling | Valdes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karl Poling | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.36 |
| ROI % | +71.0% | -1.5% |
| Units P/L | +13.50u | -0.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → JAM | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Valdes has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Poling's 0%).
| Opponent | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Perot | L 57 63 46 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kenta Miyoshi
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Matt Kuhar
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Tyler Bowers
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Simon Caldwell
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Zsombor Velcz
M25 Harlingen TX · Round of 32
Oct 29
Keegan Smith
M15 Fayetteville AR · Final
Sep 21
Raphael Perot
M15 Fayetteville AR · Semifinals
Sep 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–65 matches
| Metric | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 82% |
| Sets won | 51% | 74% |
| Games won | 50% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poling | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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